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Who's at the Heart of the Supply Chain?

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Rich Krajewski
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Supply Network Guru
Re: If they don't
Rich Krajewski   2/13/2013 11:28:02 AM
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One reason I say in-house, small-scale electronics manufacturing is beyond ordinary 3D printing is because of the high temperatures and clean conditions needed to create the substrate silicon crystal, the poisonous materials used, and need for things like masking, vapor deposition, and epitaxy to deposit the circuit onto the substrate. I can imagine that these processes might be made economical and relatively safe on a small scale. If/when that happens, it will, as Bolaji says, strongly affect the supply chain, but not completely disrupt the central role of the distributor, as the distributor will still be the aggregator of competing parts designs to lease to the OEM.

Bolaji Ojo
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Re: If they don't
Bolaji Ojo   2/13/2013 8:01:21 AM
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Rich, One of the more likely advantages from 3D printing that hasn't been touched upon is the opportunity to reduce the incidence of inventory obsolescence. I think you can't overemphasize this and it may help reduce the existence of fake products in the supply chain. It probably won't eliminate counterfeiting but parts failure may be reduced.

Bolaji Ojo
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Re: a revolution is coming
Bolaji Ojo   2/13/2013 7:58:16 AM
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Prabhakar, You are right that 3D printing will revolutionize the supply chain and may be disruptive also. However, don't forget that OEMs don't really want to or need to be involved in manufacturing whether it is 3D printing enabled or not. You still have to handle and deal with raw materials and other inventories. The concept of minimal touch hasn't gone away and distributors facilitate this for their customers.

It's unlikely we can cut distributors out of the business. They are and have proven they are adaptable and willing to change to better serve their clients. In fact, they've grown even as outsourcing increased and their ranks have reduced dramatically because fewer companies could offer the extended services OEMs want.

We can expect significant changes in the supply chain but we should also anticipate seeing distributors remaining central to the system because they touch all players.

prabhakar_deosthali
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Supply Network Guru
a revolution is coming
prabhakar_deosthali   2/13/2013 1:14:44 AM
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While we are talking about who is controlling the supply chain or who is at the heart of supply chain, many changes are happening on the component manufacturing front.

With the advent of 3D printing technology the whole component manufacturing and distribution business is likely to undergo a sea change. The OEMs may have to just get the component digital data to print the required quantity on their in house 3d printers as per their production requirements

Even the product integrators will be able to 3D prinit their subassemblies in house and assemble their own products

If this happens many a chains in the supply chain will vanish and a much leaner supply chain will remain - This is what I predict

Rich Krajewski
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Supply Network Guru
Re: If they don't
Rich Krajewski   2/12/2013 4:06:22 PM
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Maybe if chip and board manufacturing can be miniaturized, too, the way the chips and boards themselves already are, then perhaps we won't need to ship the finished materials, only the common raw materials. The parts can be made and assembled at their destination. Then a parts house might rent the code to make a part, and collect a rent or royalty on the part. This would be a big step from 3D printing, but I can see it happening. It would simplify the supply chain enormously.

This is actually an old idea. I recall it being discussed back in the 70s. Spreading out the toxic waste problem can make it more expensive to recycle manufacturing waste, however, and could limit the savings from simplified distribution and reduced inventory obsolescence.

Bolaji Ojo
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Re: If they don't
Bolaji Ojo   2/12/2013 3:46:50 PM
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Rich, That would be biting off more than Amazon could chew. UPS at its current market capitalization ($78 billion) may be more than Amazon could handle at its current cap ($118 billion.) Of course, strange things happen all the time but this is one that belongs in the realm of dreams. As you said, there's always the USPS but does any one single company ship anything near what Benjamin Franklin's creation serves?

Rich Krajewski
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Supply Network Guru
If they don't
Rich Krajewski   2/12/2013 2:54:32 PM
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"Since the 1990s, mega distributors like Arrow and Avnet have moved to the heart of the supply chain and widely expanded their offerings."

If they don't have their own fleet of trucks, they better buy UPS before Amazon does. USPS might still be available, though.



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