High-Tech & Obamacare

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FLYINGSCOT
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Supply Network Guru
election year
FLYINGSCOT   7/26/2012 11:14:41 AM
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I wonder how this rate compares to other industrialized nations and whether things might change in this election year?

Brent Lorenz
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Blogger
Re: election year
Brent Lorenz   7/26/2012 11:41:47 AM
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That is a great question. In short, a 24% personal capital gains rate is high relative to most of the rest of the world, although some countries like Denmark go as high as 45%. Many developed and developing nations actually have a 0% personal capital gains rate in order to encourage investment.

Hospice_Houngbo
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Obamacare funds
Hospice_Houngbo   7/26/2012 1:22:13 PM
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@Brent,

Thanks for the blog. As you said, tax is not the only parameter to consider when you plan to sell your business. My question is whether "business selling" will contribute that much to the Obamacare funds. What is the average number of companies sold annually in the US? 

Hospice_Houngbo
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Re: election year
Hospice_Houngbo   7/26/2012 1:28:41 PM
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French prime minister has recently announced that the  "government will tax incomes of more than €1 million ($1.25 million) at a rate of 75 percent". I suppose that is more than what is practice in most conutries. 

Clairvoyant
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Re: election year
Clairvoyant   7/26/2012 2:11:55 PM
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Wow, that is quite the tax rate! However, it may be good in being able to possibly lower tax rates for low income earners.

Brent Lorenz
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Blogger
Re: Obamacare funds
Brent Lorenz   7/26/2012 2:52:03 PM
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Hospice,

According to Mergerstat, which is an M&A publication that we subscribe to at The McLean Group, in the last 12 months ending 6/30/12, there were 9,163 acquisitions in the US.  (These would not include retail businesses, mom and pop shops, etc.)

Our of those, you have:

$1 billion+   153 deals

$1000M to $999M 697 deals

<$100M 1024 deals

Undisclosed: 6,696 deals

Most undisclosed deals are <$100M because they are smaller and not required to report publicly to shareholders.

So what this means is a lot of middle-market businesses being sold, call it 7,000+, most subject to significantly higher capital gains tax starting next year.  

 

 

JLS
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Stock Keeper
Obamacare?
JLS   7/26/2012 4:44:28 PM
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I see nothing in this article about Obabmacare!  Was that just to get us to read an article that has not new information in it about anything?

Brent Lorenz
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Re: Obamacare?
Brent Lorenz   7/26/2012 4:53:36 PM
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The key point is that Obamacare imposes an additional 3.8% to the capital gains tax rate.  Combined with the expected expiration of the Bush tax cuts from 15 to 20%, this increases capital gains to 24%. 

I agree that it is not exactly breaking news, but an 8% increase in capital gains is a significant consideration for business owners planning an exit strategy for this year versus next year.  

elctrnx_lyf
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Supply Network Guru
Re: Obamacare?
elctrnx_lyf   7/26/2012 10:32:36 PM
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Does this new tax law deter any acquisitions from technology companies?

Brent Lorenz
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Blogger
Re: Obamacare?
Brent Lorenz   7/27/2012 1:18:31 PM
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Obamacare should actually positively impact M&A activity in tech sectors that support some of the changes in health care.  This could be informatics, remote patient monitoring, device applications, etc.  Change creates new opportunities, and companies that want to take advantage of the change but can't develop the technology quickly and/or cost-effectively enough will seek acquisitions to fill the gaps.

Otherwise, I don't think it will necessarily deter tech acquisitions, it just clouds the vision of companies either seeking to acquire or be acquired. Predictably, with taxes going up, you have a lot of mid-sized companies (tech and otherwise) trying to consumate a transaction this year if possible, in order to save the additional 8% tax.  

With an election year, then there is the indecision - will taxes go up only 3.8% for Obamacare, or will they go up 8% with expiration of the Bush tax cuts?  Or will a deal be made to extend the Bush tax cuts?  Would a new administration repeal Obamacare and the 3.8%?  

What we see in middle-market M&A is the same thing that we saw 2 years ago when the Bush tax cuts were set to expire the first time.  Companies that feel that the time is good to sell go ahead and start the process now so they can take advantage of lower taxes this year.  This time around it seems extremely likely that one way or another, capital gains taxes will go up, whether it ends up being 3.8%, 8%, or even higher.

 

 

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