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Data4PCB
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Stock Keeper
Re: European EMS
Data4PCB   2/5/2011 9:54:37 AM
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My reply is to the comments below:

the assessment about North Africa might be right if one is located outside Europe, for European companies however, it is a low cost area where many products requiring low cost labour (cable harnesses, assembly etc) are made (esp. in Egypt and Tunesia but as well in the other countries in the region. To limit the importance on the Suez Channel is too little. And one has to take into account: depending how this political power game will end, it may have serious effects to other countries (which have a similar type of government) as well. As soon as Saudi Arabia is closed in by the North African/Middle East countries it may result in more than just a disruption of the Suez Channel - you may have to buy your crude oil elsewhere.

When looking at the "uncertainty in Europe" it for one has to be seen under the ight that financial speculators have started the hunt to the EURO. I won't deny that some of the countries have lived beyond their means and have the responisbility for their poor ratings but when you look at a arget like Greece (with which the whole hunt started) you have to consider the size: it is about the same size as Pennsylvania in area and population. Have you ever had a look at the debts of this particular state (or all the others? There are just 2 American States without debts! Jot even talking about the debts of American communities.) So I believe that a considerable part of opinion making is just financial business.

And to Barabara's question, why the European industry is swimming against the current my reply is that the recession in some countries hasn't been that severe than in others. Germany for example has kept most of the employees (which worked short shifts for less money) and were able to start immediately at full steam when things became better. And with globalisation going on already for many years we had to lern to specialize and to concentrate on certain industries. The German (own) business is small volume high mix, whenever it ihigh volume/ small mix than it is gone to Asia or to Eastern Europe or to North Africa. It is an irony that our industry is moving to China and Chinese companies are opening shops in Europe.

Growth is driven by various industries in each country. In Germany it is industrial electronics (the automotive part to a large extent is made elsewhere), in UK it is defense business, in Switzerland defense and medical etc. So each area has its particular driver.

I don't see any real reason for uncertainty unless we shall have another financial collapse.

 

Barbara Jorgensen
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Blogger
European EMS
Barbara Jorgensen   2/4/2011 12:06:28 AM
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In recent earnings calls I've been hearing Europe has been "unseasonably strong" and continues to run counter to historic trends. No one has been able to put their finger on exactly what's driving this growth, particularly with all the economic uncertainty in the EU.

mfbertozzi
User Rank
Supply Network Guru
Re: Step-by-Step
mfbertozzi   2/2/2011 4:45:03 PM
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Yes, it is; and it seems this chain won't be stopped soon. increasing difficulties in conceiving the possible plan to address issues on financial crisis.

Jay_Bond
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Supply Network Guru
Re: Step-by-Step
Jay_Bond   2/2/2011 4:38:56 PM
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I feel that the largest impact of the northern Africa conflicts, is the continued use of the Suez Canal for shipping purposes. As other countries try to avoid these conflicts like Jordan is currently doing, everybody needs to pay cose attention to the logistics in the area. This also could mean companies need to try and focus their attention out of the area for awhile to allow for stability.

mfbertozzi
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Supply Network Guru
Step-by-Step
mfbertozzi   2/2/2011 4:05:29 PM
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Good report Thomas, at the end it summarizes very well a real fact: several markets (and EMS among them) are living in a frozen status because of Europea is still trying to reach a political stability walking step-by-step instead of a medium-long term plan to achieve.

@Jay_Bond/Thomas: Furthermore what about recent events in Northern African Region? Could they impact a lot the European puzzle to solve?

Jay_Bond
User Rank
Supply Network Guru
re:
Jay_Bond   2/2/2011 3:18:11 PM
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This is a promising report in regards to overall growth. China's continued growth is still managing to help out the global market. With the EU still not seeing the confidence levels needed to create growth and stability, companies are going to have to evaluate how they market themselves.

With the EU being such a vital part of the global economy, companies can't turn their backs on Europe to chase China and other parts of Asia. As companies see growth and confidence build within the EU, there can be more focus on growth.





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